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Walter Dyck's Crop Reports

July 8, 2024

The lack of adequate moisture and early season heat waves dominated the news in mustard crop reports the previous three years but this year the news changed with mustard growing areas having adequate moisture and temperatures below average thus far. May was particularly cold and much of the seeding was delayed to the end of May and into early June. Crops seeded later emerged soon after planting and appear to be doing better.

Reporting agency, Statistics Canada, increased the 2024 seeded mustard for Canada to 600,000 which is just off the peak of a year ago. Yellow acres are up from the previous year and brown/oriental acres are lower after a big jump last year. In the USA we expect mustard acres to remain around 200,000 for the third straight year. Montana is dominating the USA mustard acres since 2020.  

Given the surge in mustard acres over the past three years the world has reached a point where other producing acres in Russia and Ukraine are backing off their acres. Yield prospects are also lower. The EU recently implemented a 50% tariff on Russian mustard which was enough to turn off the tap. There remain some old crop stocks in Ukraine that are currently being exported to the EU.

The mustard crop in North America is in the early flowering stage just as we are about to receive the hottest temperatures this week. Optimism remains for 2024 and perhaps we will finally see a jump in average yield for yellow mustard. A historic amount of investment has taken place in mustard and the actual yield increases for yellow have been lagging  that for brown mustard the past three years. Optimism remains given the extensive trial results.

Greg and I will start a tour of the contracted acres in Canada next week and then finish up in the USA the following week. It would be helpful to receive a midseason update from our growers in case we miss seeing some acres on the tour. We look forward to hearing from you. Thank you.

Regards,

Walter

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